Summary of December 8 NOPP conference call
component (basin, regional, local) one-way nested model.
Current work on this topic has focused on comparing physical model
output with in situ data from CalCOFI Lines 67 (MBARI) and 80 (Scripps).
The comparison shows that the model is "colder" than the observations.
Several suggestions were brought forth to deal with this (and other)
model-data disparities. First, because the model is being run at 5 km
for the entire west coast it takes ~70 hours to generate a year of model
output. Including the ecosystem might increase that by a factor of 3
(Jim, Yi please comment). Considering that many model runs will be
required to "tune" the model the group felt that it would be necessary
to create a smaller model domain (Point Conception to Mendocino, 400 km
from shore) that could be run more often than the full model domain.
This will require time from personnel in the McWilliams/UCLA shop (Jim,
Yi please comment). On a parallel track we should also investigate
additional computing resources. Second, we should compare model output
(driven by COADS climatological forcing) with COADS SST. Comparison of
CalCOFI lines 67 and 80 with the World Ocean Atlas (see Chai web page)
shows that WOA SST is significantly warmer offshore. The WOA is coarse
and "misses" the coastal upwelling signal and exhibits weak gradients in
chlorophyll, nitrate, SST inshore relative to the higher resolution
CalCOFI data. Third, we asked that John Kindle and Jeff Paduan summarize
the ICON modeling efforts, primarily in terms of sensitivity to
atmospheric forcing, so that we do not "reinvent the wheel".
back to 1990 will be the responsibility of John Kindle and Yi Chao.
Uncertainties exist about buoyancy fluxes and relative humidity field
data will be investigated. MBARI will explore the best
insolation/irradiance product for driving heating and primary production
in the model. Access to model (i.e. COAMPS) data will be required. Also
investigating NASA PAR products. Comparisons between products and
observations (moorings) will be made.
The SCOPE model is currently being forced by COADS climatology. An
obvious next step is to go to more recent and higher resolution forcing
fields. Kindle to advise (see above). Relative humidity data is
problematic and still being investigated (Ryan to follow up on).
Comparison between NCEP, COAMPS, SeaWiFS and in situ (M1, M2) insolation
fields has been done (see MBARI web site). The models and satellite
predict higher insolation, at all seasons except winter. Correlations
are high with SeaWiFS providing the highest (r=0.97).
10-component ecosystem model into ROAMS. The first exercise will be to
incorporate the 10 component model into the regional domain to compare
with UCLA simulations using a simpler ecosystem. MBARI will provide an
alkalinity salinity relationship for the region for CO2 calculations.
The ecosystem model is ready to be incorporated into ROAMS but will wait
to until a final decision has been made on model domains. (Questions
from Francisco for Yi and Fei, has the code been developed and we are
now just waiting for "computer time"; is there any difference between
implementing the ecosystem in the large versus smaller domain; should we
make one run with the ecosystem in the large domain). MBARI has provided
the salinity-alkalinity relationship (see web page). New postdoc on line
a U of Maine has implemented oxygen so now we have an 11 component
model.
take the output from the ecosystem model and estimate net and scalar
spectral irradiance, and inherent optical properties in the water
column. Net spectral irradiance will be used to compute solar heating of
the water column, and spectral scalar irradiance will be used to compute
primary productivity rates.
Maffione has promised an update on this anyday now (Robert, big brother
is watching). A postdoc has been hired by MBARI (Brad Penta) and he will
start Jan 15. His first duties will be to work on the bio-optical model
and on adding iron to the ecosystem model.
(TOPEX, SST, mooring T, S , u, v) and biological (ocean color, mooring
chlorophyll, backscatter, Ed, Lu) properties. Please give estimates as
to when we will be using data assimilation. Candidate to perform work
identified and will hopefully begin shortly. No tangible results
expected in the first year.
Post-doc identified and hiring process on track.
assemble consistent fields for MB and CalCOFI.
Validation fields have been assembled (see MBARI web page). Next step is
to assemble the bio-optical (Maffione) and ecological (species) data for
phytoplankton (Chavez) and zooplankton (Marinovic).