Summary of December 8 NOPP conference call

  1. The physical modelers (McWilliams, Chao) will develop a three
  2. component (basin, regional, local) one-way nested model.

    Current work on this topic has focused on comparing physical model

    output with in situ data from CalCOFI Lines 67 (MBARI) and 80 (Scripps).

    The comparison shows that the model is "colder" than the observations.

    Several suggestions were brought forth to deal with this (and other)

    model-data disparities. First, because the model is being run at 5 km

    for the entire west coast it takes ~70 hours to generate a year of model

    output. Including the ecosystem might increase that by a factor of 3

    (Jim, Yi please comment). Considering that many model runs will be

    required to "tune" the model the group felt that it would be necessary

    to create a smaller model domain (Point Conception to Mendocino, 400 km

    from shore) that could be run more often than the full model domain.

    This will require time from personnel in the McWilliams/UCLA shop (Jim,

    Yi please comment). On a parallel track we should also investigate

    additional computing resources. Second, we should compare model output

    (driven by COADS climatological forcing) with COADS SST. Comparison of

    CalCOFI lines 67 and 80 with the World Ocean Atlas (see Chai web page)

    shows that WOA SST is significantly warmer offshore. The WOA is coarse

    and "misses" the coastal upwelling signal and exhibits weak gradients in

    chlorophyll, nitrate, SST inshore relative to the higher resolution

    CalCOFI data. Third, we asked that John Kindle and Jeff Paduan summarize

    the ICON modeling efforts, primarily in terms of sensitivity to

    atmospheric forcing, so that we do not "reinvent the wheel".

  3. The assembly of atmospheric forcing fields for the physical models
  4. back to 1990 will be the responsibility of John Kindle and Yi Chao.

    Uncertainties exist about buoyancy fluxes and relative humidity field

    data will be investigated. MBARI will explore the best

    insolation/irradiance product for driving heating and primary production

    in the model. Access to model (i.e. COAMPS) data will be required. Also

    investigating NASA PAR products. Comparisons between products and

    observations (moorings) will be made.

    The SCOPE model is currently being forced by COADS climatology. An

    obvious next step is to go to more recent and higher resolution forcing

    fields. Kindle to advise (see above). Relative humidity data is

    problematic and still being investigated (Ryan to follow up on).

    Comparison between NCEP, COAMPS, SeaWiFS and in situ (M1, M2) insolation

    fields has been done (see MBARI web site). The models and satellite

    predict higher insolation, at all seasons except winter. Correlations

    are high with SeaWiFS providing the highest (r=0.97).

  5. The ecosystem modelers (Chai, Barber, Chavez) will integrate the
  6. 10-component ecosystem model into ROAMS. The first exercise will be to

    incorporate the 10 component model into the regional domain to compare

    with UCLA simulations using a simpler ecosystem. MBARI will provide an

    alkalinity salinity relationship for the region for CO2 calculations.

    The ecosystem model is ready to be incorporated into ROAMS but will wait

    to until a final decision has been made on model domains. (Questions

    from Francisco for Yi and Fei, has the code been developed and we are

    now just waiting for "computer time"; is there any difference between

    implementing the ecosystem in the large versus smaller domain; should we

    make one run with the ecosystem in the large domain). MBARI has provided

    the salinity-alkalinity relationship (see web page). New postdoc on line

    a U of Maine has implemented oxygen so now we have an 11 component

    model.

  7. A subroutine will be developed by Maffione and Chavez that will
  8. take the output from the ecosystem model and estimate net and scalar

    spectral irradiance, and inherent optical properties in the water

    column. Net spectral irradiance will be used to compute solar heating of

    the water column, and spectral scalar irradiance will be used to compute

    primary productivity rates.

    Maffione has promised an update on this anyday now (Robert, big brother

    is watching). A postdoc has been hired by MBARI (Brad Penta) and he will

    start Jan 15. His first duties will be to work on the bio-optical model

    and on adding iron to the ecosystem model.

  9. Chao and Sung will develop data assimilation methods for physical
  10. (TOPEX, SST, mooring T, S , u, v) and biological (ocean color, mooring

    chlorophyll, backscatter, Ed, Lu) properties. Please give estimates as

    to when we will be using data assimilation. Candidate to perform work

    identified and will hopefully begin shortly. No tangible results

    expected in the first year.

    Post-doc identified and hiring process on track.

  11. Validation of the simulations will require a joint effort. Will
  12. assemble consistent fields for MB and CalCOFI.

    Validation fields have been assembled (see MBARI web page). Next step is

    to assemble the bio-optical (Maffione) and ecological (species) data for

    phytoplankton (Chavez) and zooplankton (Marinovic).